Marathon, Middle Keys & Bahia Honda State Park, FL

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Bahia Honda Florida

Today’s Forecast:

84°F
Current Temperature
Mostly Clear
Station: KMTH
Observed at: 6:25 am CDT
Wind: 5 mph | Humidity: 79%
Today:A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight:A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 82. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday:A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 91. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Today’s Report:

Boating

Excellent
  95 /100

Excellent for boating. High near 86°F. Low rain risk (20%). Light wind (10 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Use Caution 42/100
Use Caution for boating. High near 91°F. Low rain risk (20%). Breezy winds (15 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

🛶 Paddling

Excellent
  95 /100

Excellent for paddling. High near 86°F. Risk of evening rain (20%). Breezy winds (10 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Marginal weather factor
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Use Caution 42/100
Use Caution for paddling. High near 91°F. Risk of rain (20%). Breezy winds (15 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

🐟 Fishing

Good
  84 /100

Good for fishing. High near 86°F. Low rain risk (20%). Light wind (10 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Use Caution 43/100
Use Caution for fishing. High near 91°F. Low rain risk (20%). Breezy winds (15 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

Camping

Use Caution
  44 /100

Use Caution for camping. High near 86°F. Low rain risk (20%). Light wind (10 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Use Caution 43/100
Use Caution for camping. High near 91°F. Low rain risk (20%). Breezy winds (15 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

🚲 Biking

Good
  76 /100

Good for biking. High near 86°F. Low rain risk (20%). Light wind (10 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 12/100
Not Recommended for biking. High near 91°F. Low rain risk (20%). Breezy winds (15 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures outside comfort limits (91°F).

🎪 Outdoor Events / Activities

Good
  78 /100

Good for outdoor events / activities. High near 86°F. Risk of evening rain (20%). Light wind (10 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 12/100
Not Recommended for outdoor events / activities. High near 91°F. Risk of rain (20%). Breezy winds (15 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures outside comfort limits (91°F).

About Marathon, Middle Keys & Bahia Honda State Park

The forecast point for Marathon, Middle Keys & Bahia Honda State Park represents conditions near Marathon, while exposed water, beaches, wetlands, courses, or remote access within the coverage area may differ. The day’s key decisions involve Keys marine wind, reef or bay visibility, tides, heat, and Overseas Highway access.

Planning an Outing

Check Keys marine wind, reef or bay visibility, tides, heat, and Overseas Highway access for the exact access point and activity—not just the nearest city forecast. Confirm current park, refuge, marina, ramp, ferry, road, bridge, course, or operator notices that apply to Marathon, Middle Keys & Bahia Honda State Park, and preserve enough daylight and shelter margin to change plans.

Weather Tips

  • Check wind, tides, marine forecasts, beach flags or inlet current, and water-quality notices for the exact access area.
  • Leave beaches, boats, piers, jetties, and exposed shorelines immediately when thunder is heard.
  • During tropical threats, follow local evacuation, bridge, marina, ferry, campground, and coastal-closure instructions; storm surge may affect access before landfall.
  • Check conditions near Sombrero Reef shortly before the activity starts.
  • Use sun protection, hydration, insect protection, and a reliable lightning shelter.

Nearby Towns and Areas

Use this forecast as practical context for outdoor plans near:

  • Marathon
  • Bahia Honda Key
  • Seven Mile Bridge
  • Boot Key Harbor
  • Pigeon Key
  • Sombrero Reef
  • Big Pine Key

Adjust the Day to the Forecast

Choose the Gulf or Atlantic side according to wind, shorten bridge and beach exposure, and treat Overseas Highway restrictions as a firm stop condition.

7-Day Forecast for Marathon, Middle Keys & Bahia Honda State Park

84°F
Current Temperature
Mostly Clear
Station: KMTH
Observed at: 6:25 am CDT
Wind: 5 mph | Humidity: 79%
Thu
91° 82°
19%
Fri
91° 82°
32%
Sat
91° 82°
39%
Sun
91° 83°
20%
Mon
89° 83°
6%
Tue
89° 83°
15%
Wed
89° 83°
8%

7-Day High Temperature Trend

91° Thu 91° Fri 91° Sat 91° Sun 89° Mon 89° Tue 89° Wed

7-Day Low Temperature Trend

82° Thu 82° Fri 82° Sat 83° Sun 83° Mon 83° Tue 83° Wed

📊 7-Day Outdoor Outlook

Good Fair Poor 12 Thu 12 Fri 12 Sat 12 Sun 20 Mon 12 Tue 20 Wed
Forecast data from the National Weather Service  |  Last Updated: August 15, 2026 6:14 pm CDT

Weather by Season

Winter

Winter is busy and comparatively dry, yet passing fronts can cancel charters and make exposed bridges windy. For boating near Marathon, check the destination-specific forecast and operating notice before committing.

Spring

Warm spring water supports fishing and paddling before heat, humidity, thunderstorms, and traffic become more limiting. For paddling near Bahia Honda Key, check the destination-specific forecast and operating notice before committing.

Summer

Heat, squalls, reef visibility, marine wind, and Overseas Highway incidents can change the entire Keys day quickly. For fishing near Seven Mile Bridge, check the destination-specific forecast and operating notice before committing.

Fall

Peak tropical-season disruptions, evacuation planning, and Overseas Highway access dominate early fall before humidity eases. For camping near Boot Key Harbor, check the destination-specific forecast and operating notice before committing.

Key Climate Data Points

  • Annual average temperature: roughly 76–79°F in South Florida and the Keys.
  • Annual snowfall: measurable snowfall is essentially absent; rare cold snaps can still bring frost inland.
  • Warmest months: July and August are generally hottest, with heat index often more important than air temperature.
  • Coolest months: January is usually coolest; passing cold fronts can create abrupt wind and temperature changes.
  • Wettest season: Summer and early fall usually bring the most rain, thunderstorms, and tropical moisture.
  • Driest season: Late fall through spring is generally drier, with regional drought and wildfire concerns possible.
  • Best outdoor window: Late fall through spring often offers lower humidity; warm-season plans benefit from early starts and storm flexibility.