Smugglers’ Notch, VT
Today’s Forecast:
Today’s Report:
Hiking
Not Recommended for hiking. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).
- Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
- Rain: Marginal weather factor
- Wind: Favorable conditions
- Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Camping
Not Recommended for camping. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).
- Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
- Rain: Marginal weather factor
- Wind: Favorable conditions
- Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Biking
Not Recommended for biking. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).
- Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
- Rain: Marginal weather factor
- Wind: Favorable conditions
- Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Outdoor Events / Activities
Not Recommended for outdoor events / activities. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).
- Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
- Rain: Marginal weather factor
- Wind: Favorable conditions
- Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Cross-Country Skiing
Use Caution for cross-country skiing. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph).
- Temp: Favorable conditions
- Rain: Marginal weather factor
- Wind: Favorable conditions
- Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Sledding / Snowshoeing
Use Caution for sledding / snowshoeing. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph).
- Temp: Favorable conditions
- Rain: Marginal weather factor
- Wind: Favorable conditions
- Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
About Smugglers’ Notch
Planning for Smugglers’ Notch starts with the exact trail, road, launch, lift, or event area rather than the nearest town forecast alone. The corridor between Jeffersonville and Mansfield State Forest can experience different access and surface conditions on the same day.
Planning an Outing at Smugglers’ Notch
Use recent precipitation and overnight temperature trends to judge trail, road, snow, or water conditions before departure. For hiking, camping, biking, verify the access serving Stowe instead of assuming the whole destination is ready for use.
Weather Tips for Smugglers’ Notch
- Wet leaves, roots, cold rain, black flies, ticks, and foliage crowds all affect warm-season timing.
- Compare valley and summit forecasts for wind, fog, temperature, snow, ice, lightning, and visibility.
- Check lift, trail, seasonal-road, parking, and snowmaking reports before committing to the mountain.
- Around Jeffersonville, recent rain and thaw may close or damage trails and unpaved approaches even when paved roads are clear.
Nearby Towns and Areas
Use this forecast as practical context for outdoor plans near:
- Jeffersonville
- Stowe
- Sterling Pond
- Bingham Falls
- Cambridge
- Route 108 pass
- Mansfield State Forest
Adjust the Day to the Forecast
Shorten or relocate the outing when observed snow, water, mud, wind, visibility, or road conditions differ from the forecast.
7-Day Forecast for Smugglers’ Notch
Weather by Season
Winter
Winter brings wind, ice, short daylight, and rapidly changing snow. Verify operations and traction needs before using exposed or high terrain. Check conditions near Jeffersonville because local access may change before the broader forecast does.
Spring
Spring is an extended transition of snowmelt, freeze-thaw, mud, cold rain, and seasonal closures. Respect trail and road restrictions. Check conditions near Stowe because local access may change before the broader forecast does.
Summer
Summer offers broad access but also thunderstorms, humidity, bugs, ticks, smoke, and sudden mountain fog. Early starts preserve flexibility. Check conditions near Sterling Pond because local access may change before the broader forecast does.
Fall
Fall combines cool recreation weather with wet leaves, cold rain, early frost, and heavy foliage traffic. Daylight shortens quickly. Check conditions near Bingham Falls because local access may change before the broader forecast does.
Key Climate Data Points
- Annual average temperature: roughly 38–45°F in Vermont’s higher mountain zones; elevation and proximity to large water create meaningful local variation.
- Annual snowfall: often 100 inches or more in favored high terrain, with substantial year-to-year variation.
- Warmest months: July is generally warmest, with cooler conditions at elevation and near open water.
- Coolest months: January is usually coolest, with persistent cold in northern and mountain areas.
- Wettest season: Precipitation is distributed through the year, with spring runoff and summer thunderstorms producing important access impacts.
- Driest season: Late winter is often comparatively dry, though snow cover remains substantial in mountain areas.
- Best outdoor window: Late spring through early fall for warm-season use after mud season; winter destinations depend on current snow, ice, and operations.
