Smugglers’ Notch, VT

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Outdoor scenery at Smugglers’ Notch

Today’s Forecast:

☁
34°F
High: 34° | Low: 27°
Current Temperature
Cloudy
Station: KMVL
Observed at: 9:15 pm CST on 11/13/26
Wind: 0 mph | Humidity: 80%
Tonight:A chance of snow showers after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Saturday:Snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 30. Northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Saturday Night:Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Northwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
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Today’s Report:

🥾 Hiking

  12 /100

Not Recommended for hiking. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

  • Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 11/100
Not Recommended for hiking. High near 30°F. Risk of rain (54%). Light wind (12 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

⛺ Camping

  12 /100

Not Recommended for camping. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

  • Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 11/100
Not Recommended for camping. High near 30°F. Risk of rain (54%). Light wind (12 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

🚲 Biking

  12 /100

Not Recommended for biking. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

  • Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 3/100
Not Recommended for biking. High near 30°F. High rain probability (54%). Light wind (12 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

🎪 Outdoor Events / Activities

  12 /100

Not Recommended for outdoor events / activities. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

  • Temp: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 3/100
Not Recommended for outdoor events / activities. High near 30°F. High rain probability (54%). Light wind (12 mph). Temperatures outside comfort limits (30°F).

🎿 Cross-Country Skiing

Use Caution
  46 /100

Use Caution for cross-country skiing. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph).

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Use Caution 46/100
Use Caution for cross-country skiing. High near 30°F. Risk of rain (54%). Light wind (12 mph).

🛷 Sledding / Snowshoeing

Use Caution
  46 /100

Use Caution for sledding / snowshoeing. High near 30°F. Rain forecast later today (79%). Light wind (8 mph).

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Marginal weather factor
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Use Caution 46/100
Use Caution for sledding / snowshoeing. High near 30°F. Risk of rain (54%). Light wind (12 mph).

About Smugglers’ Notch

Planning for Smugglers’ Notch starts with the exact trail, road, launch, lift, or event area rather than the nearest town forecast alone. The corridor between Jeffersonville and Mansfield State Forest can experience different access and surface conditions on the same day.

Planning an Outing at Smugglers’ Notch

Use recent precipitation and overnight temperature trends to judge trail, road, snow, or water conditions before departure. For hiking, camping, biking, verify the access serving Stowe instead of assuming the whole destination is ready for use.

Weather Tips for Smugglers’ Notch

  • Wet leaves, roots, cold rain, black flies, ticks, and foliage crowds all affect warm-season timing.
  • Compare valley and summit forecasts for wind, fog, temperature, snow, ice, lightning, and visibility.
  • Check lift, trail, seasonal-road, parking, and snowmaking reports before committing to the mountain.
  • Around Jeffersonville, recent rain and thaw may close or damage trails and unpaved approaches even when paved roads are clear.

Nearby Towns and Areas

Use this forecast as practical context for outdoor plans near:

  • Jeffersonville
  • Stowe
  • Sterling Pond
  • Bingham Falls
  • Cambridge
  • Route 108 pass
  • Mansfield State Forest

Adjust the Day to the Forecast

Shorten or relocate the outing when observed snow, water, mud, wind, visibility, or road conditions differ from the forecast.

7-Day Forecast for Smugglers’ Notch

☁
34°F
High: 34° | Low: 27°
Current Temperature
Cloudy
Station: KMVL
Observed at: 9:15 pm CST on 11/13/26
Wind: 0 mph | Humidity: 80%
Sat ❄
30° 28°
79%
Sun ❄
30° 27°
54%
Mon ❄
29° 25°
19%
Tue ☀
40° 31°
0%
Wed ⛅
42° 32°
0%
Thu ⛅
44° 33°
0%
Fri ⛅
45° --°
4%

7-Day High Temperature Trend

30° Sat 30° Sun 29° Mon 40° Tue 42° Wed 44° Thu 45° Fri

7-Day Low Temperature Trend

28° Sat 27° Sun 25° Mon 31° Tue 32° Wed 33° Thu 50° Fri

📊 7-Day Outdoor Outlook

Good Fair Poor 18 Sat 19 Sun 20 Mon 20 Tue 20 Wed 20 Thu 20 Fri
Forecast data from the National Weather Service  |  Last Updated: November 13, 2026 11:15 pm CST

Weather by Season

Winter

Winter brings wind, ice, short daylight, and rapidly changing snow. Verify operations and traction needs before using exposed or high terrain. Check conditions near Jeffersonville because local access may change before the broader forecast does.

Spring

Spring is an extended transition of snowmelt, freeze-thaw, mud, cold rain, and seasonal closures. Respect trail and road restrictions. Check conditions near Stowe because local access may change before the broader forecast does.

Summer

Summer offers broad access but also thunderstorms, humidity, bugs, ticks, smoke, and sudden mountain fog. Early starts preserve flexibility. Check conditions near Sterling Pond because local access may change before the broader forecast does.

Fall

Fall combines cool recreation weather with wet leaves, cold rain, early frost, and heavy foliage traffic. Daylight shortens quickly. Check conditions near Bingham Falls because local access may change before the broader forecast does.

Key Climate Data Points

  • Annual average temperature: roughly 38–45°F in Vermont’s higher mountain zones; elevation and proximity to large water create meaningful local variation.
  • Annual snowfall: often 100 inches or more in favored high terrain, with substantial year-to-year variation.
  • Warmest months: July is generally warmest, with cooler conditions at elevation and near open water.
  • Coolest months: January is usually coolest, with persistent cold in northern and mountain areas.
  • Wettest season: Precipitation is distributed through the year, with spring runoff and summer thunderstorms producing important access impacts.
  • Driest season: Late winter is often comparatively dry, though snow cover remains substantial in mountain areas.
  • Best outdoor window: Late spring through early fall for warm-season use after mud season; winter destinations depend on current snow, ice, and operations.