Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes, NM

Home / Locations / New Mexico / Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes, NM
Elephant Butte Reservoir in New Mexico

Today’s Forecast:

☁
55°F
High: 65° | Low: 45°
Current Temperature
Cloudy
Station: KTCS
Observed at: 12:00 pm CST on 11/13/26
Wind: 5 mph | Humidity: 51%
Today:A chance of rain showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 2 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight:A chance of rain showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday:Mostly sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Advertisement

Today’s Report:

⛵ Boating

  11 /100

Not Recommended for boating. High near 65°F. Low rain risk (2%). Windy conditions (22 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 23/100
Not Recommended for boating. High near 53°F. Temperatures outside comfort limits (53°F).

🛶 Paddling

  15 /100

Not Recommended for paddling. High near 65°F. Low rain risk (2%). Windy conditions (22 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Not Recommended 23/100
Not Recommended for paddling. High near 53°F. Temperatures outside comfort limits (53°F).

🐟 Fishing

Use Caution
  43 /100

Use Caution for fishing. High near 65°F. Low rain risk (2%). Windy conditions (22 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Unfavorable weather factor
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 93/100
Ideal conditions for fishing. Comfortable temperature (high near 53°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

⛺ Camping

Use Caution
  45 /100

Use Caution for camping. High near 65°F. Low rain risk (2%). Breezy winds (22 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Marginal weather factor
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 100/100
Ideal conditions for camping. Comfortable temperature (high near 53°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

🚲 Biking

Use Caution
  45 /100

Use Caution for biking. High near 65°F. Low rain risk (2%). Breezy winds (22 mph). Slight chance of thunderstorms.

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Marginal weather factor
  • Thunderstorm: Marginal weather factor
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Good 84/100
Ideal conditions for biking. Comfortable temperature (high near 53°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

About Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

This forecast point represents the main visitor approach and should be adjusted for elevation and exposure across the coverage area. Planning decisions include low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Planning an Outing at Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

Check the exact road, trail, water, fire, park or operating notice before departure. Conditions near Elephant Butte may not represent the highest, most exposed or most remote part of the destination.

Weather Tips for Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

  • Carry water, sun protection and layers for rapid temperature changes.
  • Leave ridges, open water, washes and exposed ground before lightning arrives.
  • Check wind, smoke, fire restrictions and access for the specific activity.
  • Expect limited cell service and longer response times away from developed areas.

Nearby Towns and Areas

Use this forecast as practical context for:

  • Elephant Butte
  • Truth or Consequences
  • Caballo
  • Williamsburg

Adjust the Day to the Forecast

Use the currently serviceable ramp and remain near shelter when wind rises; convert the day to shore fishing or biking if launching becomes unsafe.

7-Day Forecast for Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

☁
55°F
High: 65° | Low: 45°
Current Temperature
Cloudy
Station: KTCS
Observed at: 12:00 pm CST on 11/13/26
Wind: 5 mph | Humidity: 51%
Fri 🌧
65° 45°
37%
Sat ⛅
65° 42°
2%
Sun ☀
63° 41°
0%
Mon ☀
63° 43°
0%
Tue 🌧
63° 44°
24%
Wed ☀
63° 39°
6%
Thu ☀
63° 42°
2%

7-Day High Temperature Trend

65° Fri 65° Sat 63° Sun 63° Mon 63° Tue 63° Wed 63° Thu

7-Day Low Temperature Trend

45° Fri 42° Sat 41° Sun 43° Mon 44° Tue 39° Wed 42° Thu

📊 7-Day Outdoor Outlook

Good Fair Poor 65 Fri 95 Sat 100 Sun 100 Mon 97 Tue 100 Wed 100 Thu
Forecast data from the National Weather Service  |  Last Updated: November 13, 2026 11:43 pm CST

Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes Weather by Season

Winter

Cold fronts create rough open water and cold-water exposure even on sunny days. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Spring

Wind, low water and changing ramps shape the start of the boating season. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Summer

Heat and lightning produce abrupt waves; algae and shoreline access can also change. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Fall

Quieter water may return between fronts as cooling temperatures shorten the recreation day. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Key Climate Data Points

  • Approximate annual average temperature: roughly 58–64°F, strongly modified by elevation.
  • Annual snowfall: usually light and intermittent, though nearby high terrain receives much more.
  • Warmest period: June through August, with lower desert areas hottest before monsoon moisture peaks.
  • Summer monsoon: July into September is the principal thunderstorm period.
  • Best outdoor window: Varies by elevation; spring and fall favor lower terrain while summer favors early high-country starts.