Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes, NM

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Elephant Butte Reservoir in New Mexico
Elephant Butte Reservoir — Photo by Katie Sekelsky, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

Today’s Forecast:

☀
72°F
High: 82° | Low: 60°
Current Temperature
Clear
Station: KTCS
Observed at: 11:50 am CDT on 9/26/26
Wind: 3 mph | Humidity: 60%
Today:Sunny, with a high near 82. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Tonight:Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Sunday:Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. North northwest wind 1 to 6 mph.
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Today’s Report:

⛵ Boating

Excellent
  100 /100

Ideal conditions for boating. Comfortable temperature (high near 78°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 100/100
Excellent for boating. High near 82°F. Low rain risk (1%). Light wind (6 mph).

🛶 Paddling

Excellent
  100 /100

Ideal conditions for paddling. Comfortable temperature (high near 78°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 100/100
Excellent for paddling. High near 82°F. Low rain risk (1%). Light wind (6 mph).

🐟 Fishing

Excellent
  93 /100

Ideal conditions for fishing. Comfortable temperature (high near 78°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 89/100
Excellent for fishing. High near 82°F. Low rain risk (1%). Light wind (6 mph).

⛺ Camping

Excellent
  92 /100

Ideal conditions for camping. Comfortable temperature (high near 78°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

  • Temp: Marginal weather factor
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 87/100
Excellent for camping. High near 82°F. Low rain risk (1%). Light wind (6 mph).

🚲 Biking

Excellent
  100 /100

Ideal conditions for biking. Comfortable temperature (high near 78°F), light wind, and clear forecast.

  • Temp: Favorable conditions
  • Rain: Favorable conditions
  • Wind: Favorable conditions
  • Thunderstorm: Favorable conditions
Tomorrow's Outlook:
Excellent 87/100
Excellent for biking. High near 82°F. Low rain risk (1%). Light wind (6 mph).

About Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

This forecast point represents the main visitor approach and should be adjusted for elevation and exposure across the coverage area. Planning decisions include low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Planning an Outing at Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

Check the exact road, trail, water, fire, park or operating notice before departure. Conditions near Elephant Butte may not represent the highest, most exposed or most remote part of the destination.

Weather Tips for Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

  • Carry water, sun protection and layers for rapid temperature changes.
  • Leave ridges, open water, washes and exposed ground before lightning arrives.
  • Check wind, smoke, fire restrictions and access for the specific activity.
  • Expect limited cell service and longer response times away from developed areas.

Nearby Towns and Areas

Use this forecast as practical context for:

  • Elephant Butte
  • Truth or Consequences
  • Caballo
  • Williamsburg

Adjust the Day to the Forecast

Use the currently serviceable ramp and remain near shelter when wind rises; convert the day to shore fishing or biking if launching becomes unsafe.

7-Day Forecast for Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes

☀
72°F
High: 82° | Low: 60°
Current Temperature
Clear
Station: KTCS
Observed at: 11:50 am CDT on 9/26/26
Wind: 3 mph | Humidity: 60%
Sat ☀
82° 60°
0%
Sun ⛅
82° 62°
1%
Mon 🌧
81° 62°
45%
Tue 🌧
73° 57°
93%
Wed 🌧
73° 55°
44%
Thu ☀
76° 56°
4%
Fri ☀
77° 56°
0%

7-Day High Temperature Trend

82° Sat 82° Sun 81° Mon 73° Tue 73° Wed 76° Thu 77° Fri

7-Day Low Temperature Trend

60° Sat 62° Sun 62° Mon 57° Tue 55° Wed 56° Thu 56° Fri

📊 7-Day Outdoor Outlook

Good Fair Poor 20 Sat 20 Sun 4 Mon 21 Tue 22 Wed 90 Thu 85 Fri
Forecast data from the National Weather Service  |  Last Updated: September 26, 2026 6:46 pm CDT

Elephant Butte & Caballo Lakes Weather by Season

Winter

Cold fronts create rough open water and cold-water exposure even on sunny days. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Spring

Wind, low water and changing ramps shape the start of the boating season. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Summer

Heat and lightning produce abrupt waves; algae and shoreline access can also change. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Fall

Quieter water may return between fronts as cooling temperatures shorten the recreation day. Seasonal judgment must account for low water, changing ramps, long-fetch wind, heat, lightning, algae and shore access.

Key Climate Data Points

  • Approximate annual average temperature: roughly 58–64°F, strongly modified by elevation.
  • Annual snowfall: usually light and intermittent, though nearby high terrain receives much more.
  • Warmest period: June through August, with lower desert areas hottest before monsoon moisture peaks.
  • Summer monsoon: July into September is the principal thunderstorm period.
  • Best outdoor window: Varies by elevation; spring and fall favor lower terrain while summer favors early high-country starts.